According to UK Ministry of Defence intelligence analysts, the increase in daily losses of Russia's criminal army in the war against Ukraine will lead to half a million personnel losses by 2025.
What is known about the probable increase in losses of Russian army in Ukraine during 2024
British intelligence analysts point out that in 2023, the daily losses of Russian army personnel in Ukraine increased to almost 300 killed and wounded, which is higher than in 2022.
The increase in daily casualties reported by the Ukrainian side almost certainly indicates the degradation of the Russian military and its transformation into an army of lower quality and larger numbers after the "partial mobilisation" in September 2022. Russia is likely to need 5-10 years to rebuild a cohort of highly professional and experienced units, according to a British intelligence report.
According to British military analysts, if the current rate of daily losses of the occupying Russian army in Ukraine continues throughout 2024, by 2025 the losses of the criminal army of Russia will exceed half a million people killed and wounded.
Intelligence reminds us that over the 9 years of the war in Afghanistan, the USSR lost about 70,000 people.
What is known about successes of Armed Forces of Ukraine during 2023
According to former MP and political scientist Oleksandr Chernenko, the Security Service of Ukraine (SSU) took an active part in Ukraine's recapture of the Black Sea from Russia with the help of maritime drones.
American professor Timothy Snyder considers the victory at sea to be the most important for Ukraine in 2023. It was achieved thanks to the SSU's maritime drones. Western experts emphasise that this development of the Service has changed the balance of power in the Black Sea. "Russia, which considered itself the master in the region, no longer controls the situation and was actually forced to withdraw a significant part of its fleet, and Russian ships are constantly blown off, the analyst notes.
According to him, the SSU has achieved significant success in conducting combat operations and countering the aggression of the occupiers of Russia.
The value of Russian equipment destroyed by the SSU units (in particular, the Special Operations Centre "A") since the beginning of the war is more than $2 billion. In 2023 alone, the Service destroyed more than 500 tanks. Among the destroyed tanks are the latest T-90 and T-90M, which cost almost $5 million each, the analyst explains.
He also noted the SSU's successful fight against Russian agents in Ukraine.
233 artillerymen are currently awaiting trial. 82 traitors are already serving long prison sentences. The SSU took up the issue that the state had been avoiding for 30 years and cleared the network of "agents in cassocks". The Ukrainian Orthodox Church of Moscow Patriarchate (UOC (MP)) is an extensive network of agents that Russia has been building for many years. For the first time since independence, the SSU has begun to systematically expose this network. The Security Service of Ukraine is investigating more than 70 criminal proceedings against the clergy of the UOC (MP), Chernenko said.
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