Breakthrough of the AFU in Kursk region. Will he be able to disrupt the offensive of the Russia
Category
Ukraine
Publication date

Breakthrough of the AFU in Kursk region. Will he be able to disrupt the offensive of the Russia

AFU
Source:  ISW

As of today, the Russian military command does not want to redeploy forces from other operational directions to the Kursk region, so as not to disrupt its offensive in eastern Ukraine. However, such a scenario is really possible, notes the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Points of attention

  • The breakthrough of the Armed Forces of Ukraine into the Kursk region can change the course of the war.
  • The Russian army has already engaged various units and special forces to fight for the lost Russian territories.
  • The Russian military command may transfer more experienced units to the Kursk region, but it will take a long time.

A breakthrough of the Armed Forces can change the course of the war

Foreign analysts have come to the conclusion that the Russian military command believes that the situation can be saved by units deployed in the border area and easily accessible forces in the rear.

These units are likely to be the first to respond, even if the Russian military command decides to redeploy additional, more experienced units from other parts of the theater of operations, the report said.

In addition, it is emphasized that the Russian army has already involved:

  • Special Forces (Main Intelligence Directorate of the General Staff of Russia [GRU]),

  • special operations forces (SSO),

  • additional Chechen special forces "Akhmat",

  • Army Corps of the Donetsk People's Republic (AK DPR),

  • ex-fighters of the "Wagner" PVK

The Russian military command may be transferring more experienced and better equipped front-line units from eastern or southern Ukraine to the Kursk region, but it will likely take additional time for such units to arrive in the Kursk region, experts emphasize.

Photo: understandingwar.org

The ZSU succeeds in disrupting the offensive of the Russian army

According to one of the Russian military commanders, the units that the aggressor country levied for an offensive operation in the north of the Kharkiv region are already being transferred to the Kursk region.

If this is true, then perhaps the Russian military command has decided that the failure of the offensive operation in the north of the Kharkiv region is a necessary sacrifice, analysts note.

It is also important to understand that the enemy is still trying to prevent the redeployment of his forces from more priority areas of the front.

According to experts, a larger redeployment of Russian troops from the frontline areas will probably be slower.

It is also indicated that more combat-ready front-line units may start arriving in the Kursk region in the coming days.

Category
Economics
Publication date

Putin offered Trump a deal on natural resources

What Putin is offering Trump
Source:  online.ua

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin's team has proposed a deal to the administration of US leader Donald Trump regarding Russian natural resources. Moscow is reportedly interested in joint projects with the US in the Arctic.

Points of attention

  • The Russian dictator aims for increased domestic drilling and hydrocarbon exploration technologies by 2025, with an ultimate share target of 80%.
  • The proposed deal between Putin and Trump regarding Russian natural resources could have significant implications for the global energy market and geopolitical relationships.

What Putin is offering Trump

The head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund, Kirill Dmitriev, made a statement on this occasion.

The latter began to claim that American oil companies had previously done "very successful business" in Russia. He also added that the sanctions had allegedly caused losses of about $300 billion.

"We believe that at some point they will return, because why would they give up the opportunity to access Russian natural resources that Russia has given them?" said a close aide to the Russian dictator.

What is important to understand is that before the Russian Federation's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Exxon Mobil was the only major American company engaged in oil production in the Russian Federation.

It owned 30% of the Sakhalin-1 project, but after the imposition of sanctions it announced its withdrawal. Despite this, it was never able to sell its stake — official Moscow extended the terms several times, the last time until the end of 2026.

The Russian dictator wanted the country to have its own drilling and hydrocarbon exploration technologies by 2025, and their share would reach 80%.

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