Current bond prices indicate that markets are pricing a 70% chance of a peace agreement between Kyiv and Moscow, according to a report by US investment bank Goldman Sachs.
Points of attention
- US President Donald Trump expresses concern over Russia's actions against Ukraine, labeling the situation as 'a very bad situation.'
- Stay updated on the geopolitical dynamics and financial implications tied to the potential peace agreement between Kyiv and Moscow.
What Goldman Sachs is currently predicting
The bank's team points out that the current assessment is much higher than before the election of US President Donald Trump in November 2024.
Our modeling suggests that the current market price of a peace deal has increased from less than 50% before the US election to approximately 70% now, Goldman Sachs said in a research note.
It is also worth noting that this estimate is slightly lower than the peak of 76% in February.
By the way, White House President Donald Trump recently said that he is angry about Russian dictator Vladimir Putin's increased terror against Ukraine.
According to him, everything that is happening in Ukraine now is "a very bad situation."
I don't like what's happening with the bombings, because they (the Russians — ed.) are bombing like crazy right now.
Donald Trump
President of the United States