The Russian ocuptaion forces will change their tactics at the Russo-Ukrainian front with the approach of winter — British Defence Intelligence
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Ukraine
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The Russian ocuptaion forces will change their tactics at the Russo-Ukrainian front with the approach of winter — British Defence Intelligence

UK Ministry of Defence
Russian Ocupationn Forces

Access to improved Precision-guided munition will be one of the key factors for the Russian ocuptaion army on the Ukrainian front this winter.

How the Russian Federation will change tactics at the front in winter

As noted in the summary, the Russian Federation has announced that it will increase production of its Krasnopil-M2 152 mm laser-guided artillery ammunition and improve the characteristics of the projectiles for resistance to bad weather conditions.

According to British intelligence, Russian artillery has already achieved success in battles with "Krasnopol", often using it to accurately defeat individual Ukrainian vehicles.

At the same time, the Russian defence industry is unable to produce enough regular ammunition. The planned increase in Krasnopol manufacturing is likely an attempt to use production capacity in a more efficient way.

Russia uses unmanned aerial vehicles to designate targets for the Krasnopol by directing a laser beam at the target. However, cloud cover has become a key factor limiting the effectiveness of the projectile, as its laser detector cannot detect the laser energy and manoeuvre to strike, the report said.

The British Ministry of Defence believes that the Russian industry is likely to try to improve the flight characteristics of the Krasnopol and reduce the time for laser guidance of the projectile.

As winter approaches, it is likely that Russia's access to improved precision munitions will be one of the key factors in its operational activities in Ukraine," British intelligence notes.

What is known about "Krasnopol"

"Krasnopol" - laser-guided artillery shell of caliber 152 mm or 155 mm.

The correction is performed by aerodynamic rudders at the final stage of the laser mark's flight to the target. To increase the range, the projectile is equipped with a jet engine or a bottom gas generator.

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Economics
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Trump's trade wars: the US could run out of toilet paper

Trump
Source:  Bloomberg

US President Donald Trump's trade war could lead to shortages of more than just eggs and beef. Promised tariffs on softwood lumber risk leaving Americans without toilet paper.

Points of attention

  • President Trump's trade war and proposed tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber may lead to a shortage of toilet paper in the US.
  • Increasing tariffs on softwood pulp, a key component for toilet paper production, could result in higher prices and limited availability of paper products like napkins and paper towels.

Trump will leave the US without toilet paper

The Trump administration plans to nearly double tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber to 27%, and if additional tariffs are imposed, to more than 50%.

The American leader is pushing for the new tariffs in part to support local production, but they could also hit the availability of northern bleached softwood sulfate pulp, or NBSK, a key component for making toilet paper and paper towels.

The agency explained that NBSK makes up about 30% of standard American napkins and half of a regular paper towel.

Brian McClay, chairman of the consulting firm TTOBMA, which tracks the global pulp market, told reporters that NBSK is currently supplied mainly from Canada.

He added that in 2024, the US imported about 2 million tons of this material.

Some of these mills in the US, some of the big brand names, not only want softwood pulp from Canada, but they want pulp from this particular mill — they've been using it for 30 years and they're not going to change. If the Canadian pulp mills close down because of a lack of fiber supply, I can't think of any other option for them — they just can't change the recipe.

The agency warned that this scenario could lead to a shortage of toilet paper in the US, similar to the one experienced during the pandemic. It also could lead to a sharp increase in the price of toilet paper.

Trump has long promoted tariffs as a tool to bring manufacturing back to the U.S., and he has repeatedly stated that his country does not need Canadian lumber.

However, this position does not take into account the unique qualities of Canadian softwood pulp, which industry leaders say cannot be easily replaced by American alternatives. NBSK is valued for its tensile strength, the agency stressed.

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