Orban invented a trick to continue the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine
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Politics
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Orban invented a trick to continue the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine

Orban
Source:  Reuters

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said that Budapest is negotiating with Russia and Ukraine to maintain gas supplies, even though Russian gas is imported through the TurkStream pipeline.

Points of attention

  • Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban is utilizing a clever strategy to ensure the continued transit of Russian gas through Ukraine by suggesting that the gas becomes the property of Hungarian buyers upon entering Ukrainian territory.
  • The negotiations between Hungary, Russia, and Ukraine revolve around maintaining gas supplies through Ukraine despite the existence of the TurkStream pipeline, which poses a challenge to traditional transit routes.
  • Ukraine is bracing for the cessation of Russian gas transit as the current agreement expires, asserting that there will be no new agreement with the aggressor state and exploring alternatives to continue gas transit to European countries.
  • Hungary's reliance on Russian gas imports via Ukraine underscores the importance of finding innovative solutions to preserve energy security and avoid disruptions in the supply chain.
  • President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine emphasizes the country's stance on not allowing Russia to profit from gas transit and exploring options to transit gas to European countries while avoiding payments to Russia amidst ongoing conflict.

Orban is using tricks to get Russian gas through Ukraine

Orban said this at a briefing on December 21.

We are now trying a trick... what if the gas, when it enters the territory of Ukraine, would no longer be Russian, but would be owned by the buyers. Thus, the gas that enters Ukraine would no longer be Russian, but would be Hungarian.

Viktor Orban

Viktor Orban

Prime Minister of Hungary

According to him, "negotiations are ongoing," and it is currently unclear whether the Russian partner and Ukraine will agree to this, but Hungary will not give up the Ukrainian transit route for gas.

This year, Hungary has imported about 7.5 billion cubic meters of Russian gas through the TurkStream pipeline and additional volumes through Romania. According to Orbán, domestic gas production is about 1-1.5 billion cubic meters.

The pipeline, which runs through Ukraine, is one of the last major routes for Russian gas to Europe, but it is due to be closed at the end of this year because Kyiv does not want to extend a five-year transit agreement that supplies gas to Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Austria.

Ukraine will not supply transit Russian gas to Europe

Ukrainian Energy Minister Herman Galushchenko stated during the German-Ukrainian Business Forum in Berlin that Ukraine had been carefully preparing for the cessation of Russian gas transit for a long time, including testing the resistance of the GTS.

This year, the contract for the transit of Russian gas through Ukraine, signed between Naftogaz of Ukraine and Gazprom, expires. The state's position on this issue is unwavering: there will be no new agreement with the aggressor state.

Ukraine is ready to transit gas to European countries if it is not gas of Russian origin.

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said this during a meeting of the European Council in Brussels.

If a European country is ready to receive gas and not pay Russia until the war is over, we can think about it. But we will not give the Russian Federation the opportunity to earn additional income.

He noted that Ukraine is also not satisfied with the option of transiting gas from a country that, in turn, buys gas from Russia.

"This is the same as continuing to transfer money to Russia," Zelenskyy emphasized.

Category
Politics
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Time will work for Ukraine. Putin may incur Trump's wrath

Putin can outdo himself

The Wall Street Journal points out that US President Donald Trump's plans to end Russia's war against Ukraine as quickly as possible have proven unrealistic. Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky's team is now waiting for the White House leader to lose patience with dictator Vladimir Putin's antics.

Points of attention

  • Former US Ambassador Daniel Fried highlights that time will work in Ukraine's favor if Trump persists in seeking a quick deal while Putin remains an obstacle.
  • The outcome of the conflict hinges on Trump's response if he feels deceived by Putin's maneuvers, potentially escalating tensions between the US and Russia.

Putin can outdo himself

As the editorial board notes, Ukraine's main goal at the moment is to exit the war without capitulating to Russia and at the same time without giving up its economic independence to the United States by signing an agreement on subsoil resources.

As for Putin, he has not given up on his plans: the Kremlin wants to dominate Ukraine at all costs and prevent its integration with the West.

Against this background, official Moscow is doing everything possible to drag out negotiations with the US. Recently, Russia has even begun to claim that it will not accept the US proposal for a ceasefire, since, they say, the "root causes" of the war are not being addressed.

The current situation was commented on by former US Ambassador to Poland and Atlantic Council fellow Daniel Fried.

According to the latter, Zelensky's team is currently in a more advantageous position, as it is not dictating conditions to Trump and is simply waiting for the US president to lose patience with Putin's antics.

"Time will work in Ukraine's favor if Trump continues to push for a quick deal, and Putin (Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, — ed.) will be an obstacle. If Trump decides he has been fooled, he may react badly," the diplomat stressed.

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