China is increasingly preparing to invade Taiwan
Category
World
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China is increasingly preparing to invade Taiwan

China does not give up its intentions
Source:  Financial Times

American journalists have drawn attention to the fact that China has carried out the largest deployment of naval forces in the last 30 years. Taiwan is convinced that in this way the PRC is preparing for war.

Points of attention

  • China is boosting its naval forces, causing outrage in Taiwan.
  • China's air traffic restrictions and other actions are seen as preparations for a possible war.
  • Assessments of Beijing's latest actions currently vary.

China does not give up its intentions

Official Taipei draws attention to the connection between Taiwanese President Lai Tsing-de's visits to the United States and the large deployment of Chinese naval forces.

It is quite possible that this was a show of force on Beijing's part.

We cannot ignore the fact that the PRC has announced a partial restriction of air traffic for two days in seven zones covering the coast from Shanghai to Hong Kong.

According to journalists, there has been no statement from the People's Liberation Army of China, despite the fact that Xi's team usually conducts propaganda campaigns against Taiwan.

On December 9, Taiwan's Ministry of Defense set up an emergency response center and conducted a surprise drill. According to officials, the threat level was serious.

How are these events being commented on in the USA?

According to American officials, while China's military activity in the East China and South China Seas has indeed increased, it is in line with the levels seen during other major exercises.

US authorities believe this is not a response to Lai's brief visits to the States.

"It is crucial to distinguish between a coercive campaign in response to a leader's visit to another country and a regular large-scale regional exercise. China has chosen not to respond to Lai's actions," said a U.S. official, speaking on condition of anonymity.

What is important to understand is that the assessment of Beijing's actions differs significantly in Taiwan and the United States.

According to journalists, this could lead to confusion and uncertainty among allies.

Category
World
Publication date

When Russia could attack NATO — German intelligence forecast

Russia may still start a war against NATO
Source:  Bild

The German Federal Intelligence Service (BND) and the Bundeswehr have concluded that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin perceives relations with the West as a systemic conflict and is preparing for a major war with NATO.

Points of attention

  • Despite the current limitations on Russia's forces and resources, there are concerns that Russia could conduct a limited military operation to test NATO's preparedness for defending its member states.
  • The international community is urged not to overlook the combat readiness of the Russian air force and navy, emphasizing the potential threat posed to the Baltic countries once the conflict with Ukraine subsides.

Russia may still start a war against NATO

A new report by German intelligence agencies suggests that the Putin regime is determined to use force to achieve its goals.

In addition, it is indicated that by the end of 2030, Putin may be fully ready for a "large-scale conventional war."

According to the Lithuanian special service VSD, the aggressor country currently does not have enough forces and resources to launch an attack on the entire alliance.

Despite this, Russia could "test NATO" by conducting a limited military operation against one or more member states to determine how seriously the bloc is prepared to defend all of its members.

German intelligence officials are urging the international community not to ignore the fact that the Russian air force and navy remain combat-ready.

If the Russian Federation's war against Ukraine ends, they could be quickly transferred to the borders with the Baltic countries.

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