USA announces about new Russian offensive against Ukraine
Category
Ukraine
Publication date

USA announces about new Russian offensive against Ukraine

Russian army
Source:  ISW

According to the American Institute for the Study of War, it currently records all the signs that Russia is launching a new large-scale summer offensive on the territory of Ukraine.

Points of attention

  • Russian militants are increasing the intensity of offensive operations in the Donetsk region, changing tactics on the front.
  • An increase in shelling and attacks in the area of Chasovoy Yar and Avdiyivka is predicted.
  • New attempts by the enemy to break through in the east of Ukraine are expected after the offensive in the north to stretch the resources of the Armed Forces.

The situation at the front is escalating again

The ISW team draws attention to the fact that the Russian army is increasing the pace of its offensive operations in the Donetsk region, while at the same time reducing the intensity of attacks in the north of the Kharkiv region.

It is important to understand that the offensive operations of the enemy in the Kharkiv region are primarily aimed at distracting the soldiers of the Armed Forces and allowing the occupiers to break through in other areas of the front.

According to the latest data, the invaders increased the intensity of attacks in the direction of Toretsk-Horlivka on the night of June 18 and maintained a relatively high intensity of attacks in this area from June 19 to June 22.

The fact that Russian militants were generally not active on this part of the front throughout 2024 is quite eloquent, so it was impossible not to notice new attempts to break through

In contrast, the pace of Russian offensive operations in the north of the Kharkiv region has sharply decreased in recent days, especially compared to mid-May this year, ISW emphasizes.

The Russian army has not yet determined the specific directions of the offensive

As American analysts report, the occupiers are currently maintaining a high intensity of shelling in the direction of Chasovoy Yar and around Avdiivka.

Attacks on this part of the front may soon intensify.

This depends on whether the Russian command will determine the coming weeks as a favorable time for an offensive in these directions before Ukrainian troops redeploy reserves back to the Donetsk region, the report says.

According to Ukrainian insiders, the new offensive of the Russian Federation will indeed be concentrated in the east of Ukraine, after the offensive in the north, the purpose of which was to stretch the limited resources of the Armed Forces.

Category
Politics
Publication date

Victory or Survival. What's Wrong with Biden's Ukraine Plan?

What Biden's plan really was
Source:  TIME

According to TIME senior correspondent Simon Schuster, Ukraine really had a chance to defeat the Russian army in the first years of the war, but, they say, the plan of American leader Joe Biden never envisaged Ukraine's victory, but only its salvation from total defeat.

Points of attention

  • The main goal was to ensure Ukraine's survival as a sovereign state and its aspiration for integration with the West.
  • Biden also sought to maintain US unity with allies and avoid direct conflict between NATO and Russia.
  • Only Biden's latest decisions have become the most painful for Russia.

What Biden's plan really was

According to Simon Schuster, after the Russian Federation's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2024, Biden set three goals for his country.

However, what is important to understand is that there was no clause about Ukraine's victory among them.

The journalist drew attention to the fact that the traditional formulation of the Biden team, namely to support Ukraine "as long as necessary" was intentionally vague, without any specifics.

According to Eric Green, who worked on Biden's National Security Council, the White House "deliberately avoided" discussing territorial issues.

"In the White House's view, this would be beyond Ukraine's ability, even with significant Western assistance. It would not be a victory story. The more important goal was the survival of Ukraine as a sovereign democratic state, free to seek integration with the West," Shuster emphasized.

According to him, one of Biden's goals is precisely Ukraine's survival, not its victory.

What else did Biden aspire to?

Shuster also emphasized that the head of the White House tried to preserve the unity of the United States and other Western allies.

Another goal is to avoid direct conflict between NATO and Russia.

Despite Joe Biden achieving each of these goals, the "success" leaves little room for complacency.

There is too much suffering for Ukraine and too much uncertainty about what this will ultimately lead to.

The expert draws attention to the fact that only in the last months of his tenure did Joe Biden approve several decisions that became truly painful.

This is not only about permission to use American missiles to strike Russian territory, but also about tough sanctions against the Russian energy sector.

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