Erdogan proposes Putin create new "grain corridor" from Black Sea to Africa
Category
Economics
Publication date

Erdogan proposes Putin create new "grain corridor" from Black Sea to Africa

Bulker
Source:  CNN Turk

Turkey considers the Black Sea Grain Initiative to be a successful project, the operation of which could be resumed, and instead of supplying grain from the Russian Federation to the West, it could be delivered via Turkey to African countries.

Points of attention

  • Erdogan and Putin are discussing the creation of a "grain corridor" across the Black Sea to Africa to replace grain supplies from Russia to the West.
  • Turkey considers the Black Sea Grain Initiative as a successful project to ensure food security in the region.
  • The presidents of Turkey and Russia discussed the possibilities of developing bilateral trade and cooperation in the field of nuclear power plant construction.
  • Erdogan expressed Turkey's readiness to mediate in achieving peace in the Russian-Ukrainian war and a fair settlement of the conflict.
  • Journalists discovered ships that were transporting stolen Ukrainian grain from the port of Mariupol to the territory occupied by Russia.

Erdogan wants a new "grain corridor" together with Russia

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan told reporters after he visited Astana, where he participated in the SCO summit.

We made a perfect start (at the talks with Putin — ed.), especially regarding the Black Sea Grain Corridor. As you know, we transported 30 million tons of grain through the corridor. I asked their opinion on starting a new process, leaving aside the shipment of grain to the West, as they insist on creating a corridor through Turkey to Africa and other regions sensitive to food security.

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

President of Turkey

According to him, Putin was interested in such a prospect and promised to make efforts to supply grain to poor African countries.

Regarding Turkey's initiative to mediate to achieve peace in the Russian-Ukrainian war, President Erdoğan noted that the war is not beneficial to either Russia or Ukraine.

I want to believe that now the tension will be reduced and it will be possible to build peace. We are ready to do our part, as we have done so far, to protect this land.

Putin met with Erdogan

On July 3, the illegitimate president of Russia, Vladimir Putin, flew to Astana, the capital of Kazakhstan, to participate in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit. There, he met with the president of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

During the meeting, Erdogan said that Turkey aims to increase the volume of bilateral trade with Russia to 100 billion dollars.

He also reported that Ankara and Moscow are negotiating the construction of the Sinop NPP in Turkey. The station should become the country's second nuclear power plant after the Akkuyu NPP, which Russian experts in Mersin province are building.

At the same time, Putin said at the meeting that relations between Russia and Turkey are developing gradually, "despite all the difficulties of the current moment in the world."

Erdogan, in turn, invited Putin to Turkey "in the near future." The President of the Russian Federation replied that "he will definitely come."

President Erdoğan noted that Turkey can form the basis for a cease-fire agreement and then peace between Russia and Ukraine. He expressed confidence in the possibility of a fair settlement that would satisfy both parties.

What is known about companies exporting stolen Ukrainian grain

Bihus.Info journalists discovered at least three vessels that were transporting stolen Ukrainian grain from the port in Russian-occupied Mariupol.

It is noted that the first ship with stolen Ukrainian grain left the port of occupied Mariupol in May 2023.

Russian propaganda videos from the occupied port of Mariupol repeatedly showed the process of loading grain onto several Russian ships.

Among them are the container ships STK-1003 and STK-1016 of the St. Petersburg firm "Udalenny Morskoy Terminal" and the Mezhdurechensk steamship belonging to the Rostov-based "Reka-More" company of the Russian businessman Gennady Arustamov, a former tugboat captain.

According to tracking services, these ships were in the port of occupied Mariupol, after which they headed for the ports of Rostov-on-Don, Azov, Kavkaz, and Yeisk.

Category
Politics
Publication date

When Putin might agree to a truce — Estonia's forecast

What to expect from Putin next?
Source:  The Guardian

Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur believes that Russian dictator Vladimir Putin may agree to sign an agreement with US President Donald Trump's team on a ceasefire on the front in Ukraine by May 9 because of his love of "special dates."

Points of attention

  • Pevkur's analysis is based on Putin's past actions, such as launching a full-scale invasion of Ukraine shortly after Russia's Armed Forces Day, emphasizing the significance of historical dates.
  • The upcoming talks between US special representative Steve Witkoff and Putin in Russia underscore the ongoing dialogue and potential for a ceasefire agreement between the two nations.

What to expect from Putin next?

Journalists asked the Estonian minister why he concluded that the aggressor country, Russia, would try to conclude an agreement with the United States by May 9.

"I read the signs. Putin was always attentive to dates," emphasized Hanno Pevkur.

Against this background, he also recalled that on February 23, 2022, Russia celebrated Armed Forces Day, and the next day — February 24 — Putin ordered the launch of a full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

"Therefore, I believe that May 9, which for us is Europe Day, for Russia is the day of the end of World War II, they will strive, perhaps, for this to get some kind of agreement, some kind of truce or something like that," Pevkur voiced his forecast.

What is important to understand is that on April 11, it became known that the US President's special representative, Steve Witkoff, once again traveled to Russia.

In Moscow, he will hold talks with dictator Putin regarding a ceasefire on the front.

Category
Ukraine
Publication date

British intelligence predicts new serious problems for the Russian army

UK Ministry of Defence
The state of the Russian economy continues to deteriorate

According to British intelligence, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin will have fewer and fewer resources in the future to maintain the Russian army's spending at a high level.

Points of attention

  • Inflation in Russia is on the rise, and long-term inflationary pressures could affect the country's ability to sustain high defense spending.
  • Labor shortages and high government spending further compound the economic challenges facing Russia, potentially impacting military capabilities.

The state of the Russian economy continues to deteriorate

According to the UK Ministry of Defence, as long as interest rates remain high, the number of corporate bankruptcies in Russia is likely to increase.

Back in the fall of last year, the ruble collapsed to its lowest level since the beginning of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 (114 per US dollar).

However, the Russian currency was able to strengthen to a high of 81 per US dollar in March 2025.

The strengthening of the ruble will most likely lead to a reduction in federal revenues from oil and gas in ruble terms, which will increase pressure on the federal deficit, British intelligence officials emphasize.

We also cannot ignore the fact that inflation in Russia continues to rise.

Against this backdrop, labor shortages, as well as high government spending, indicate that inflation will remain above the Central Bank of the Russian Federation's target of 4 percent through 2025.

Long-term inflationary pressures are likely to put increased pressure on Russia's ability to maintain high defense spending, the UK Ministry of Defense emphasizes.

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