Kursk operation. What to expect from the Russian army
Category
Ukraine
Publication date

Kursk operation. What to expect from the Russian army

What is known about the development of the situation in Kurshchyna
Source:  ERR

According to Estonian intelligence, Russia is actively building up troops to try to push Ukrainian soldiers out of the Kursk region in the coming weeks or months.

Points of attention

  • The Russian Federation is withdrawing more and more troops to Kurshchyna.
  • The Defense Forces of Ukraine manage to keep the captured territories under their control.
  • An increase in the number of attacks by the Russian Federation in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions and pressure on the Armed Forces was recorded.

What is known about the development of the situation in Kurshchyna

The head of the intelligence center of the Estonian Defense Forces, Ant Kiviselg, made a forecast in this regard.

He draws attention to the fact that, as of today, attacks by both Ukrainian and Russian troops continue in the Kursk region. In addition, it is emphasized that certain areas pass from one side to the other.

It is also impossible to ignore the fact that the contingent of Russian troops in Kurshchyna is constantly growing.

According to the data of the Defense Forces of Ukraine, there are currently about 50,000 military personnel in the region, of which about 10,000 are North Korean.

What does the Russian army plan to do next?

The head of the intelligence center of the Estonian Defense Forces, Ant Kiviselg, predicted that such a large number of Russian soldiers and the possible concentration in the border areas express the desire of the Russian Federation to push Ukrainian forces out of the Kursk region in the coming weeks or months.

Most likely, they will try to do it before the onset of cold weather or, at the latest, in January 2025, — he emphasized.

In addition, it is emphasized that an increase in the number of attacks by the Russian Federation in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions has been recorded.

According to Kiviselg, most of the combat clashes take place in the Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv districts. It is in these areas of the front that the Russian army is constantly increasing the pressure on the Armed Forces.

Category
Politics
Publication date

"There is no real plan." Trump can fool Ukraine and Europe

Europe is losing confidence in Trump on ending the war
Source:  Reuters

As Reuters has learned, European politicians who have already spoken with US President Donald Trump's team have concluded that the White House does not actually have a clear plan to end Russia's war against Ukraine.

Points of attention

  • The absence of a coordinated process for formulating policy on Ukraine, with only one principals' meeting held by the National Security Council, has contributed to the uncertainty and doubts surrounding the US administration's strategy.
  • Media insiders in the European Union have expressed concerns about conflicting statements from different parts of the administration, indicating a lack of a coherent plan and direction in resolving the conflict.

Europe is losing confidence in Trump on ending the war

According to media insiders in the European Union, the White House is putting pressure on official Kyiv to quickly achieve results.

Against this background, European officials expressed fears that the States might dare to make decisions that could undermine not only Ukraine, but also the EU's security architecture.

Currently, official Brussels is worried that the US has no clear ultimate goals.

"We sometimes hear conflicting things from different parts of the administration. It also adds to the feeling that there is no real plan here," the anonymous source said.

According to journalists, the Trump team has not yet formed a coordinated process for formulating policy on Ukraine.

Contrary to standard practice, the National Security Council held only one principals' meeting — a meeting attended by all or most of the president's top national security advisers — on this issue, the publication writes.

Category
Ukraine
Publication date

British intelligence predicts new serious problems for the Russian army

UK Ministry of Defence
The state of the Russian economy continues to deteriorate

According to British intelligence, Russian dictator Vladimir Putin will have fewer and fewer resources in the future to maintain the Russian army's spending at a high level.

Points of attention

  • Inflation in Russia is on the rise, and long-term inflationary pressures could affect the country's ability to sustain high defense spending.
  • Labor shortages and high government spending further compound the economic challenges facing Russia, potentially impacting military capabilities.

The state of the Russian economy continues to deteriorate

According to the UK Ministry of Defence, as long as interest rates remain high, the number of corporate bankruptcies in Russia is likely to increase.

Back in the fall of last year, the ruble collapsed to its lowest level since the beginning of Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 (114 per US dollar).

However, the Russian currency was able to strengthen to a high of 81 per US dollar in March 2025.

The strengthening of the ruble will most likely lead to a reduction in federal revenues from oil and gas in ruble terms, which will increase pressure on the federal deficit, British intelligence officials emphasize.

We also cannot ignore the fact that inflation in Russia continues to rise.

Against this backdrop, labor shortages, as well as high government spending, indicate that inflation will remain above the Central Bank of the Russian Federation's target of 4 percent through 2025.

Long-term inflationary pressures are likely to put increased pressure on Russia's ability to maintain high defense spending, the UK Ministry of Defense emphasizes.

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