A significant strengthening of the AFU will take place in the coming weeks. What will change?
Category
Ukraine
Publication date

A significant strengthening of the AFU will take place in the coming weeks. What will change?

AFU
Source:  The New York Times

The New York Times analyzed the Ukrainian mobilization campaign and concluded that it will have an impact on the course of the war in the near future. This is also confirmed by the statements of Ukrainian officials, soldiers and military analysts who spoke on condition of anonymity.

Points of attention

  • The Ukrainian authorities and brigades recognize the problems with the lack of military personnel, but are actively working to solve this problem.
  • The Russian army may make another attempt to break through the Ukrainian defenses at the front.
  • Success in the war for Ukraine depends not only on the scale of mobilization, but also on the high-quality training of soldiers and the proper supply of military equipment and ammunition.

The Armed Forces will strengthen tens of thousands of mobilized

According to experts, from May 2024, up to 30,000 people were mobilized in Ukraine every month.

What is important to understand is twice or three times more than during the last winter months.

However, the Ukrainian authorities refuse to confirm or deny such information.

The representatives of some brigades also do not hide that the situation with personnel began to improve gradually.

As the press officer of the 65th brigade, Lieutenant Serhiy Skibchyk, said, his unit is being strengthened by small groups of conscripts every week, but this is not enough at the moment.

According to journalists, the lack of soldiers was one of the biggest problems of Ukraine on the battlefield in the last year. Russian troops managed to break through the weakened Ukrainian lines. And the Ukrainian army does not have enough soldiers to carry out large-scale counterattacks, — writes the publication.

Photo: facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua

What are the current mobilization problems

According to Vienna-based military analyst Franz-Stefan Gadi, who recently returned from Ukraine, many of the mobilized will go to the front in the coming weeks.

In addition, he voiced a forecast that by this time the Russian army "will make another large-scale push" in an attempt to break through the defense of the Armed Forces.

Journalists draw attention to the fact that mobilization is only part of success for Ukraine.

Quality training of soldiers and provision of a sufficient number of weapons and ammunition are also important factors.

This month, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyi admitted that there was a shortage of training facilities for conscripts and complained that more than a dozen brigades were underarmed due to delays in the delivery of Western weapons.

Category
Economics
Publication date

Subsoil Agreement. At what stage are the negotiations between Ukraine and the US?

Sybiga spoke about the progress of negotiations between Ukraine and the United States

According to Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiga, after the completion of the second round of online negotiations, which is already planned, the Ukrainian delegation will travel to the United States for physical negotiations on the subsoil agreement. In addition, it was indicated that another negotiation process will start in parallel.

Points of attention

  • The subsoil agreement is being carefully analyzed to align with Ukraine's European integration plans, highlighting the importance of legal compliance.
  • Efforts are underway to engage in parallel negotiation processes to facilitate a comprehensive and successful agreement between the two countries.

Sybiga spoke about the progress of negotiations between Ukraine and the United States

According to preliminary data, a new round of negotiations on signing the agreement should take place on April 4.

And the next step is the physical arrival of the Ukrainian delegation to Washington to discuss the details.

Andriy Sybiga

Andriy Sybiga

Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine

According to the head of Ukrainian diplomacy, offline negotiations will take place soon — within the next one or two weeks.

In addition, it is indicated that Kyiv and Washington plan to also start a track at the level of commercial legal advisors.

One of the most famous law firms will be involved to support the negotiation process, which will assist the negotiation team and also conduct its own track directly with American lawyers, — Andriy Sybiga emphasized.

He also added that it is extremely important to analyze the subsoil agreement for compliance with legislation and compliance with Ukraine's European integration plans.

Category
Politics
Publication date

Time will work for Ukraine. Putin may incur Trump's wrath

Putin can outdo himself

The Wall Street Journal points out that US President Donald Trump's plans to end Russia's war against Ukraine as quickly as possible have proven unrealistic. Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky's team is now waiting for the White House leader to lose patience with dictator Vladimir Putin's antics.

Points of attention

  • Former US Ambassador Daniel Fried highlights that time will work in Ukraine's favor if Trump persists in seeking a quick deal while Putin remains an obstacle.
  • The outcome of the conflict hinges on Trump's response if he feels deceived by Putin's maneuvers, potentially escalating tensions between the US and Russia.

Putin can outdo himself

As the editorial board notes, Ukraine's main goal at the moment is to exit the war without capitulating to Russia and at the same time without giving up its economic independence to the United States by signing an agreement on subsoil resources.

As for Putin, he has not given up on his plans: the Kremlin wants to dominate Ukraine at all costs and prevent its integration with the West.

Against this background, official Moscow is doing everything possible to drag out negotiations with the US. Recently, Russia has even begun to claim that it will not accept the US proposal for a ceasefire, since, they say, the "root causes" of the war are not being addressed.

The current situation was commented on by former US Ambassador to Poland and Atlantic Council fellow Daniel Fried.

According to the latter, Zelensky's team is currently in a more advantageous position, as it is not dictating conditions to Trump and is simply waiting for the US president to lose patience with Putin's antics.

"Time will work in Ukraine's favor if Trump continues to push for a quick deal, and Putin (Russian dictator Vladimir Putin, — ed.) will be an obstacle. If Trump decides he has been fooled, he may react badly," the diplomat stressed.

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